Had some hits (Bortles, Ertz, Mixon) but too many misses (Julio, Lynch) to qualify for a prize last week. Let’s try and right the ship here this week. Some real values to be had. Let’s see how we went after this week’s lineup.
Running Back: Don’t want to overspend here, as the high end guys are looking good but not good enough to merit their prices. We are going to plug Chris Carson ($6,400) in. He’s in a split backfield, but thinking he gets the majority of the carries against an Oakland team that gives us a decent amount of fantasy points to RBs.
Wide Receiver: Gonna splurge here. Julio Jones ($8,500) can’t have two bad games in a row, and the Bucs give up the second-most fantasy points to WRs. Something has to give here, and we are betting that Jones has a huge game.
Quarterback: Planning on finding value later, so we are going to overspend at QB too. Matt Ryan ($8,300) is facing a Bucs team that gives up the most fantasy points to QBs. He may approach 400 yards in this one. 3 scores is probably a given.
Defense: The Jets ($4,200) are averaging over 10 fantasy points in FanDuel scoring and the Colts give up a decent amount of fantasy points to team defenses. Defenses are a crapshoot anyways.
Tight End: Going to roll the dice here, and it may be that we make a late switch. Right now O.J. Howard is supposedly going to play, but is only 2 weeks removed from a sprained knee. That said, Cameron Brate ($4,500) represents a huge value. Jameis Winston absolutely loves throwing to his tight ends and the Atlanta secondary is completely decimated. We’ll check this tomorrow, or maybe even before kickoff.
Wide Receiver: Going to look to a game that could have some decent amount of points, and with Marcus Peters shadowing Emmanuel Sanders, we think that Demaryius Thomas ($6,500) could put up some numbers.
Running Back: Devonta Freeman has been ruled out, so Tevin Coleman ($6,300) will get a full workload against the Bucs. The Bucs are going to commit everything they have to stopping the Falcons’ pass game, so thinking Coleman is a sleeper here this week. He’s not going to get a lot of usage this week, so in tournament play he represents a solid pivot away from the norm.
Wide Receiver: Adam Thielen has been en fuego, but running mate Stefon Diggs ($8,200) has performed admirably too. Thinking Patrick Peterson shadows Thielen, leaving Diggs to “get his” this week. Have plenty left in the coffers to grab a top WR and still have enough to get a solid flex.
Flex: We may need to adjust this if we have to go in a different direction at TE, but for now, we have enough for T.J. Yeldon ($7,100), who will have a full workload against Dallas. The Cowboys have actually been OK against the run, but will again be without Sean Lee and we expect the Jags to pound the ball.
QB – Ryan ($8,300)
RB – Carson ($6,400)
RB – Coleman ($6,300)
WR – Jones ($8,500)
WR – Thomas ($6,500)
WR – Diggs ($8,200)
TE – Brate ($4,500)
Flex – Yeldon ($7,100)
DEF – Jets ($4,200)